
You just sent 0.5 BTC ($52,500) to an exchange. The transaction shows up… but it says “0/6 confirmations.” Do you panic? Wait? Celebrate?
This guide answers the #1 question every Bitcoin user asks in 2025: How many confirmations are actually safe? We’ll explain what a confirmation really is, why exchanges demand 1–6+, the math behind 51% attacks, real-world reorg examples, high-fee vs low-fee scenarios, and exactly how many you need for $100 vs $1 million.
(When you want to move confirmed BTC to Ethereum, Solana, Base, or 200+ chains with zero commission, Baltex.io is one of the fastest routes in 2025 — more on that later.)

Rule of thumb 2025: 1 conf = 99.9 % safe, 3 conf = 99.999 % safe, 6 conf = practically irreversible
Jump to what a confirmation is | Security math | Real attacks | BTC vs other chains | FAQ
Visual Example
The deeper it’s buried, the exponentially harder it is to reverse.

Source: Adapted from Satoshi’s 2010 whitepaper Section 11 + 2025 hashrate ~720 EH/s
Even a state-level attacker would need >$10 billion in hardware + electricity to sustain a 51% attack long enough for 6-conf reorg.

Bottom line: In 2025, a 3-confirmation reorg has never succeeded against an honest participant.
Short answer: No — fees affect speed, not finality.

Even a 1 sat/vB transaction will eventually confirm — just slowly.

Trend since 2023: Most exchanges dropped from 6 → 3 due to hashrate growth.

Bitcoin remains the most expensive chain to attack — by orders of magnitude.

Most wallets now show a progress bar: 0/3 → 1/3 → 2/3 → 3/3
For everyday payments, Bitcoin users increasingly skip on-chain confirmations entirely: Lightning Network channels settle instantly with pre-signed transactions. You only need on-chain confirmations when opening/closing channels or using submarine swaps.
In 2025, >60 % of retail BTC volume happens over Lightning → zero confirmations needed.
You waited your 3–6 confirmations. Now you want to trade BTC → ETH, USDC on Base, or SOL memecoins. Most exchanges charge 0.1–0.5 % + withdrawal fees. A faster, cheaper option: Baltex.io — zero-commission, non-custodial, multi-chain swap hub. Send confirmed BTC → receive any token on any chain in <2 minutes, often <0.2 % all-in cost.
Average 10 minutes, but can be 1 minute or 2+ hours depending on mempool.
Yes — for amounts under ~$5,000. Attack cost >$1M.
Legacy policy from 2010–2015 when hashrate was lower.
Only with a successful 51% attack — never happened profitably against honest users.
No. Higher fee = faster first confirmation. Depth (number of confs) is independent.
It will eventually confirm (even 1 sat/vB). Just wait longer.
Yes — gold standard for finality. Most chains aspire to Bitcoin-level security.
In a world of instant-but-reversible payments (Solana pauses, Ethereum reorgs, banks clawbacks), Bitcoin confirmations are the closest thing crypto has to unbreakable final settlement.
Six confirmations in 2025 is equivalent to hundreds on any other chain — because attacking Bitcoin costs nation-state money.
So next time you see “3/3 confirmations” and the money hits your wallet, you’re not just receiving Bitcoin — you’re receiving the most secure digital settlement in human history.
Wait your confirmations, sleep peacefully, and when you’re ready to diversify — Baltex.io is waiting with the cheapest cross-chain swaps on earth.
Stay safe out there.
Sources: mempool.space, Bitcoin whitepaper Section 11, Blockstream research, Hashtrate Index — November 2025.